Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KARL-22
in Mexico
11 Oct 2022 21 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS NOAA
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone KARL-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Mexico
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 93 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (13 Oct 19:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)
    Landfall between
    13 Oct 2022 18:00 - 14 Oct 2022 06:00
    in Mexico

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 83 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 93 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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    Wind

      83 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 2.7 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 11 Oct 2022 21:00 83 2.7 million No people Mexico

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 11 Oct 2022 21:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 19.6, -94.4
          GREEN
          		 1 12 Oct 2022 06:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 20.3, -94.9
          GREEN
          		 1 12 Oct 2022 18:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 21.1, -95.3
          GREEN
          		 1 13 Oct 2022 06:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 110000 people 21.2, -96
          GREEN
          		 1 13 Oct 2022 18:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 380000 people 20.7, -96.3
          GREEN
          		 1 14 Oct 2022 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 1.1 million people 20.2, -96.6 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 1 14 Oct 2022 18:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 19.9, -97 Mexico
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
          Mexico 2.6 million people

          Provinces

          Region Province Country Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
          Veracruz Mexico 2.2 million people
          Tabasco Mexico 210000 people
          Puebla Mexico 170000 people

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          Catemaco Veracruz Mexico City 24000 people
          San Andrés Tuxtla Veracruz Mexico City -
          Santiago Tuxtla Veracruz Mexico City 16000 people
          Coatzacoalcos Veracruz Mexico City 230000 people
          Alvarado Veracruz Mexico City 21000 people
          Tiacotalpan Veracruz Mexico City -
          Cosoleacaque Veracruz Mexico City 20000 people
          Minatitlán Veracruz Mexico City 150000 people
          Misantla Veracruz Mexico City 23000 people
          Tlapacoyan Veracruz Mexico City 33000 people
          Teziutlán Puebla Mexico City 60000 people

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Lerdo de Tejada 40 0
          Minatitlan MTT 40 Civ. Paved Yes 6800
          Minatitlan Old 27 0

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Rabon Grande Mexico
          Coatzacoalcos MXCOA Mexico
          Alvarado MXAVD Mexico
          Dos Bocas MXDBT Mexico
          Nanchital MXNAN Mexico
          Minatitlan MXMTT Mexico
          TOP

          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

          TOP

          StormSurge

          0.4 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Kopernik Shores, United States. This height is estimated for 13 Oct 2022 19:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (234 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 1 of 11 Oct 2022 21:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Kopernik Shores United States  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Boca Chica United States  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Los Ebanos Mexico  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 El Porvenir Mexico  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 18:00 South Padre Island United States  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 18:00 San Jose de los Leones Mexico  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Port O'Connor United States  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Palacios United States  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 18:00 Holly Beach United States  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 18:00 Laguna Vista United States  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 18:00 Laguna Heights United States  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 18:00 Port Isabel United States  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Anderson Ways United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Galveston United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Nadeau United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Texas City Junction United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Bayou Vista United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Texas City United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Virginia Point United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Port Bolivar United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Fort Travis United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Flake United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Elmgrove United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Crystal Beach United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Bolivar Peninsula United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Spanish Village United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Flour Bluff United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Port Ingleside United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Aransas Pass United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Estes United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Shell Ridge United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 18:00 El Mezquital Mexico  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 La Pesca Mexico  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 18:00 Fraccionamiento Nuevo Leon Mexico  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Quintana United States  0.3
          12 Oct 2022 15:00 Majahual Mexico  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Rockport United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Copano Village United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Fulton United States  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 02:00 Cabo Rojito Mexico  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Valasco Heights United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Freeport United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Hoskins United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Mims United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Hoskins United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Port Morris United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Sea Isle United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 18:00 El Naranjal Mexico  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Surfside United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Surfside Beach United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 18:00 Yarborough United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Mustang Beach United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Port Aransas United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Red Fish Cove United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 20:00 Patton United States  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 08:00 El Laurel Mexico  0.3
          12 Oct 2022 04:00 Cachimba Mexico  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 03:00 El Tular Mexico  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Matagorda United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Chinquapin United States  0.3
          12 Oct 2022 14:00 Dos Hermanas Mexico  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 20:00 Jamaica Beach United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 High Island United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Gulf Park United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 20:00 Bay Harbor United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Caplen United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Gilchrist United States  0.3
          12 Oct 2022 03:00 La Majada Mexico  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Bryan Beach United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Rancho Nuevo Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 13:00 Calderas Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 17:00 Johnson's Bayou United States  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 17:00 Constance Beach United States  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 17:00 Peveto Beach United States  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 17:00 Holly Beach United States  0.2
          14 Oct 2022 08:00 Nautla Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 02:00 Boqueron Mexico  0.2
          13 Oct 2022 17:00 Pueblo Viejo Mexico  0.2
          13 Oct 2022 17:00 Primero de Mayo Mexico  0.2
          13 Oct 2022 22:00 La Presita Mexico  0.2
          13 Oct 2022 17:00 Tampico Alta Mexico  0.2
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Los Pericos Mexico  0.2
          13 Oct 2022 18:00 Tamiahua Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 17:00 Cameron United States  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 03:00 Buenavista Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 02:00 Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.2
          13 Oct 2022 16:00 La Mata Mexico  0.2
          14 Oct 2022 00:00 Laja Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 22:00 Balantanche Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 03:00 Solo Dios Mexico  0.2
          14 Oct 2022 04:00 Tecolutla Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 20:00 Champoton Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 20:00 Haltunchen Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 20:00 Seybaplaya Mexico  0.2
          13 Oct 2022 20:00 Grand Chenier United States  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 06:00 Gulf Park Estates United States  0.2
          14 Oct 2022 06:00 La Guadalupe Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 03:00 Costa Rica Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 03:00 Union Hidalgo Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 03:00 Chicapa Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 17:00 Oak Grove United States  0.2
          11 Oct 2022 23:00 Alvarado Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 04:00 El Roble Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 03:00 La Concepion Mexico  0.2
          11 Oct 2022 23:00 Buen Pais Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 01:00 San Pedro Mexico  0.2
          14 Oct 2022 06:00 Monte Gordo Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 03:00 Arista Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 03:00 Barra de San Jose Mexico  0.2
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Rancho de Piedra Mexico  0.2
          14 Oct 2022 04:00 Tenixtepec Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 12:00 Santeneja Belize  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 03:00 El Capulin Nicaragua  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 03:00 Barrancones Honduras  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 03:00 Condega Honduras  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 03:00 Cedeno Honduras  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 06:00 Hilda United States  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 06:00 Gautier United States  0.2
          14 Oct 2022 07:00 Vega de Alatorre Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 00:00 Anton Lizardo Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 04:00 Pesqueria Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 13:00 Xcalak Mexico  0.2
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Cheniere Au Tigre United States  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 06:00 Pascagoula United States  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 03:00 El Tulate Guatemala  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 03:00 La Verde Guatemala  0.2
          11 Oct 2022 23:00 Huajapan Mexico  0.2
          11 Oct 2022 23:00 Tonala Mexico  0.2
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Tepeguahe Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 06:00 Chetumal Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 06:00 Calderita Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 03:00 El Carmen Nicaragua  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 06:00 Gualora Honduras  0.2
          11 Oct 2022 23:00 Coatzacoalcos Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 03:00 Puerto de San Benito Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 04:00 Petacaltepe Nicaragua  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 10:00 Breton United States  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 04:00 Conchaguita El Salvador  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 03:00 Guerrero El Salvador  0.2
          14 Oct 2022 06:00 Emilio Carranza Mexico  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 05:00 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.1
          13 Oct 2022 20:00 Agua Dulce Mexico  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 10:00 Fort Jackson United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 10:00 Boothville United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 10:00 Duvic United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 03:00 Tahuesco Guatemala  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 03:00 Nueva Venecia Guatemala  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 03:00 Huitzitzil Guatemala  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 03:00 Barra Madre Vieja Guatemala  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 04:00 Veracruz Mexico  0.1
          13 Oct 2022 20:00 San Dionisio del Mar Mexico  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 06:00 Tupilco Mexico  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 06:00 Chiltepec Mexico  0.1
          14 Oct 2022 07:00 Celestum Mexico  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 04:00 Hacienda La Chepona El Salvador  0.1
          11 Oct 2022 23:00 Sanchez Magallanes Mexico  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 21:00 Hoquel Mexico  0.1
          14 Oct 2022 08:00 Sisal Mexico  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 05:00 Bayou La Batre United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 05:00 Coden United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 05:00 Nelson United States  0.1
          13 Oct 2022 20:00 Port Fourchon United States  0.1
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Sunrise United States  0.1
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Buras United States  0.1
          11 Oct 2022 23:00 Salinas Mexico  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 02:00 Conejo Mexico  0.1
          11 Oct 2022 23:00 Montepio Mexico  0.1
          11 Oct 2022 23:00 Las Barrillas Mexico  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 00:00 Hidalgo Mexico  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 06:00 Francisco I. Madero Mexico  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 03:00 Ocos Guatemala  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 03:00 Las Pozas Nicaragua  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 05:00 Dauphin Island United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 05:00 Heron Bay United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 05:00 Alabama Port United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 05:00 Vigia Chico Mexico  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 03:00 Tecojate Guatemala  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 03:00 Sipacate Guatemala  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 20:00 Porfirio Diaz Mexico  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 20:00 Chenkan Mexico  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 03:00 Gulf Lagoon Beach United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 03:00 Biltmore Beach United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 03:00 Lower Grand Lagoon United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 03:00 Upper Grand Lagoon United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 03:00 Magnolia Beach United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 03:00 Pretty Bayou United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 03:00 Baker United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 03:00 Lynn Haven United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 03:00 Beacon Beach United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 03:00 Cove United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 03:00 Southport United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 03:00 Cromanton United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 03:00 Hiland Park United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 03:00 Cedar Grove United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 03:00 San Blas United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 03:00 Springfield United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 03:00 Panama City United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 03:00 Parker United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 03:00 Tyndall AFB United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 03:00 College Station United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 03:00 Old Callaway United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 03:00 Callaway United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 03:00 Bayou George United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 03:00 Cook United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 03:00 Davis Beach United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 03:00 Allanton United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 03:00 Wetappo United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 03:00 Mexico Beach United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 03:00 Overstreet United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 03:00 Beacon Hill United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 03:00 Highland View United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 03:00 Port Saint Joe United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 03:00 Milltown United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 03:00 Oak Grove United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 03:00 Ward Ridge United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 03:00 McNeils United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 03:00 Indian Pass United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 03:00 Thirteen Mile United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 03:00 Odena United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 03:00 Eleven Mile United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 03:00 Nine Mile United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 04:00 Fort Gaines United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 04:00 Fort Morgan United States  0.1
          13 Oct 2022 20:00 Ostrica United States  0.1
          13 Oct 2022 20:00 Neptune United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 04:00 El Cacao El Salvador  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 03:00 San Jose Rama Blanca Guatemala  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 17:00 Bacalar Chico Belize  0.1
          14 Oct 2022 18:00 Eden Isle United States  0.1
          14 Oct 2022 18:00 Howze Beach United States  0.1